March on Washington

So, if one were to predict whether capitalism, reduced taxes, and small government wins out in the United States or whether a massive social welfare state that attempts to balance entrenched elite interests with popular interests wins out, the likelihood is that capitalism with reduced taxes and small government will win out in the United States. Obviously, one cannot reduce this conclusion to just one reason. There is a confluence of factors or reasons that can lead to such a conclusion if we dig deep.

For one, there is the issue of corruption. The first word in the dictionary that people associate with Nancy Pelosi and the elite establishment when their names are mentioned is corruption. Thus, no matter what the elite establishment does in trying to balance their own interests with popular interests, the writing is already on the wall per se because of popular perception. When it comes to whether people prefer change or the status quo, the answer is perhaps change because of the perception people have of the elite establishment. Moreover, Joe Biden did not win the Democratic primaries in 2020. Rather, Biden was pushed to the top by specific interests within his party. If we really leave it up to the people and the masses when it comes to choosing a candidate or party nominee in Democratic primaries, it would be a whole different ballgame.

Combine corruption within the elite establishment with a history of war crimes within the elite establishment, and you get the anger, discontent, and frustration on the part of the masses. Thus, as a result of a pattern of corruption and war crimes within the elite establishment, what you essentially have in the American body politic is a distribution of power between progressives and populists. In order to gain power, progressives usually go through the establishment in order to seize the reins of power. On the other hand, populists usually win through elections. Therefore, the methods and strategies by which progressives and populists use to seize power is another factor which can explain what the outcomes could be in both the midterms in 2022 and the general election in 2024 in the United States.

Based on the aforementioned methods and strategies that progressives and populists have historically used in order to seize power, one can conclude with a certain degree of confidence that populists will win elections if elections are truly free and fair amidst the economic, political, and social climate that exists within the United States at the moment. Europe and Afghanistan are historical precedents for what happens when a body politic is divided for the most part between progressives and populists in a tumultuous economic, political, and social climate. After all, in order to understand the present, we must first understand history.

And history generally shows that the people outnumber and outweigh the elites and the establishment. More than half – or perhaps the overwhelming majority of Americans – do not believe that Joe Biden is the duly elected president of the United States. Nor does the government or mainstream media have the clout that they used to have in changing popular perceptions because of the internet and social media. Then again, as Paul Nitze famously said: “All is uncertainty.”