Appearance Versus Reality

If one were to speculate, it is quite possible that Russia will end up getting a favorable outcome in Ukraine and at the same time get its oil and gas on the international market. In addition to having a political advantage, Russia also has a legal justification for some sort of intervention in Ukraine, namely, the ‘Minsk Agreement’ which consists of two parts that were signed in 2014 and 2015. Although the ‘Minsk Agreement’ revolves around a number of provisions, the most important provision and the one which is at play at the moment is the issue of foreign armaments and foreign military equipment, which Ukraine is blatantly violating and the United States has been abetting Ukraine in the violation of this provision.

Moreover, when one combines sheer political will, a legal justification, as well as a global ‘balance of power’ dynamic which favors China and the Eastern world at the moment, the situation is most likely a win-win for Russia. The resurgence of Russia over the course of the last couple of decades very much coincides with the rise of Vladimir Putin. During the latter stage of the Cold War, Putin was a diplomat and an intelligence officer in East Berlin. As the Berlin Wall collapsed before his eyes, Putin is known for having single-handedly fended off a mob of about a thousand people who were planning on attacking the Soviet Embassy. After a number of personal struggles, including unemployment and underemployment, Putin managed to rise through the ranks of local Russian politics before seizing the attention of then-President Boris Yeltsin, who then appointed Putin as his successor in the year 2000.

The way in which the American establishment puts down Putin and the Russian people shows the sheer cruelty, lack of civility, and the savagery of the American establishment, and these characteristics have been demonstrated towards other nations and societies as well. Bertrand Russell is known for having articulated the mental representation of Russians and Chinese in the Anglo-American mind, by suggesting that Russians are ‘brutes’ and Chinese are ‘godless materialists.’

But the sense of racial superiority on the part of the Anglo-American establishment is offset by reality. If Biden continues to use Ukraine as a prod to poke Russia, the loser in this situation will be Europe, which is supposedly an American ally. Although America is somewhat self-sufficient in addition to relying on Gulf Arab energy, Europe gets 40 percent of its energy supply from Russia, and Germany receives 50 to 75 percent of its gas imports from Russia, according to the Brookings Institute. Thus, if Biden shuts down ‘Nordstream,’ the loser will be Germany and perhaps all of Europe. In turn, Russia and China’s stock is rising when it comes to international commerce and trade, whereas America is reeling from a loss in Afghanistan and France is losing its grip over North Africa and West Africa.

Moreover, Washington’s realpolitik approach towards the world – which is aimed at starting wars in order to sell weapons, given that almost half of American exports are weapons – is ultimately offset by economic interdependence. There are limits to Washington’s realpolitik approach towards the world. While Washington appears to be the linchpin of international order, the reality is that Washington blatantly violates and utterly disregards international law at every turn, as evinced by the violations of the ‘Minsk Agreement’ as it pertains to Ukraine, as well as in other places such as Afghanistan and Iraq. Washington’s utter disregard for international law is also demonstrated vividly by egregious sanctions against places like Cuba, Iran, and Venezuela, as well as in the disregard for the “One-China Policy” which is the source of tensions between the United States and China at the moment. Overall, Washington’s rote and simplistic explanations for everything are challenged at the core by detail and nuance.

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